Wednesday 30 July 2008

Logging results from Beaver

At the end of my last little spurt on Beaver (careful...), I decided it was time I logged the results of more extended play-tests. Well, that didn't take very long. After 45 minutes or so, I'd played my top strategy off against itself a total of 3000 times — each time on a randomised board — and crunched the results in an Excel spreadsheet.

And the results at the end of this WarGames-esque madness...?

Player 1 wins:46.2%
Player 2 wins:39.7%
Draw:14.1%

Hmmmm. Looks like a fair indicator of first-player bias. :-/

However! It could just be a consequence of that particular strategy's characteristics. To be sure, I'll need to run the same test with more strategies. But... to be honest, I'm not sure I can be bothered. The chances of seeing a different result seem slim and there are other tempting directions I can take this prototype e.g. making it human-playable...

I suspect we're in for a period of hot procrastination action. Hey ho.

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